A Preliminary Top 10

HoopGurlz commissions Joe Montes to take an unflinching and nonjudgmental look at the nation's top recruiting classes for 2007.

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Editor's Note: The following is a purely statistical analysis by Joe Montes that results in preliminary team recruiting rankings for HoopGurlz.com. We will post final recruiting rankings after the fall signing period that will take into account some more-subjective factors.

Joe Montes is a software consultant who divides his time between the Great Northwest and Southern California. He has been a woman's college basketball fan since his college days, during the championship years of Stanford in the early 1990s. Joe obviously likes to dabble in statistics, influenced by two sisters who both are PhDs in Statistics.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
RECRUITING POINTS ASSIGNMENT for TOP 105 FROM 2007:
(based on Hoopgurlz.com rankings)
------------------------------------------------------------------------
5-star/Tier 1 = 10 pts:  #01 Maya Moore        ->  #04 Kayla Pedersen 
5-star/Tier 2 =  9 pts:  #05 Victoria Baugh    ->  #08 Jasmine Thomas 
5-star/Tier 3 =  8 pts:  #09 Marah Strickland  ->  #12 Kelly Cain 
5-star/Tier 4 =  7 pts:  #13 Melissa Jones     ->  #25 Jence Rhoads 
------------------------------------------------------------------------
4-star/Tier 1 =  5 pts:  #26 Rachel Rentschler ->  #47 Rebecca Gray 
4-star/Tier 2 =  4 pts:  #48 Kim Rodgers       ->  #69 Elizabeth Repella 
4-star/Tier 3 =  3 pts:  #70 Brittney Thomas   ->  #91 Megan Jackson 
------------------------------------------------------------------------
3-star/Ranked =  1 pt :  #92 Kari LaPlante     ->  #105 Marisa Gobuty 
------------------------------------------------------------------------

Author's Note:
----

The following 2007 Recruiting Class Analysis was done on Nov 7, 2006, and does not include the following TOP 105 recruits who were still uncommitted as of that date:

No. 17 Tyra White (7 pts)
No. 28 Ta'Shia Phillips (5 pts)
No. 53 Danielle Adams (4 pts)
No. 57 Chimere Jordan (4 pts)
No. 79 Johna Ward (3 pts)
No. 91 Megan Jackson ( 3 pts)

----

These rankings are the result of averaging results from the exhibits that follow:

HOOPGURLZ.com Top 10 Recruiting Classes
	1. Tennessee	Top Recruit	Angie Bjorklund
		No. 2 Recruit	Vicki Baugh
		Avg Rank	1.0
	2. Duke	Top Recruit	Krystal Thomas
		No. 2 Recruit	Jasmine Thomas
		Avg Rank	2.7
	3. Stanford	Top Recruit	Kayla Pedersen
		No. 2 Recruit	Jeanette Pohlen
		Avg Rank	3.3
	4. Maryland	Top Recruit	Marah Strickland
		No. 2 Recruit	Drey Mingo
		Avg Rank	4.3
	5. North Carolina	Top Recruit	Italee Lucas
		No. 2 Recruit	Cetera DeGraffenreid
		Avg Rank	5.7
	6. Connecticut	Top Recruit	Maya Moore
		No. 2 Recruit	Lorin Dixon
		Avg Rank	6.0
	7. Ohio State	Top Recruit	Jantel Lavender
		No. 2 Recruit	Brittany Johnson
		Avg Rank	6.7
	8. Georgia Tech	Top Recruit	Alex Montgomery
		No. 2 Recruit	Isasia Hemingway
		Avg Rank	8.7
	8. UCLA	Top Recruit	Christina Nzekwe
		No. 2 Recruit	Regina Rogers
		Avg Rank	8.7
	10. Oklahoma	Top Recruit	Danielle Robinson
		No. 2 Recruit	Jenny Vining
		Avg Rank	10.3

Exhibit 1:  TOP 10 2007 RECRUITING CLASSES
based on TOP 2 RECRUITS
---------
           
1 ) Tennessee      	= 19 pts 
2 ) Duke           	= 18 pts 
3 ) Connecticut    	= 17 pts (Avg Rank of Top 2 Recruits = 10.0)
4 ) Stanford      	= 17 pts (Avg Rank of Top 2 Recruits = 13.0)
5 ) North Carolina 	= 16 pts 
6 ) Maryland       	= 15 pts (Avg Rank of Top 2 Recruits = 12.5)
7 ) Ohio State     	= 15 pts (Avg Rank of Top 2 Recruits = 18.5)
8 ) Georgia Tech   	= 14 pts
9 ) Oklahoma       	= 12 pts
10) Texas          	= 10 pts


Exhibit 2:  TOP 10 2007 RECRUITING CLASSES
based on TOP 3 RECRUITS
---------

1 ) Tennessee      	= 27 pts
2 ) Duke           	= 23 pts 
3 ) Stanford	= 22 pts
4 ) North Carolina 	= 21 pts
5 ) Maryland       	= 20 pts
6 ) Ohio State     	= 19 pts
7 ) Connecticut    	= 17 pts
8 ) Georgia Tech   	= 14 pts (Avg Rank of Top 2 Recruits = 17.5)
9 ) UCLA           	= 14 pts (Avg Rank of Top 2 Recruits = 37.5)
10) Oklahoma       	= 12 pts
  

Exhibit 3:  TOP 10 2007 RECRUITING CLASSES
based on ALL RANKED (TOP 105) RECRUITS
---------

1 ) Tennessee     	= 32 pts
2 ) Maryland       	= 28 pts
3 ) Stanford       	= 25 pts
4 ) Duke           	= 23 pts 
5 ) North Carolina 	= 21 pts
6 ) UCLA           	= 20 pts
7 ) Ohio State     	= 19 pts
8 ) Connecticut    	= 17 pts
9 ) Georgia Tech   	= 14 pts
10) Washington    	= 13 pts

 
Exhibit 4:  2007 RECRUITING CLASSES with HIGHEST AVERAGE RANKING
from the above-mentioned 3 RANKING CATEGORIES
---------

1 ) Tennessee	= 1.0
2 ) Duke        	= 2.7
3 ) Stanford      	= 3.3
4 ) Maryland       	= 4.3
5 ) North Carolina 	= 4.7
6 ) Connecticut    	= 6.0
7 ) Ohio State     	= 6.7
8 ) Georgia Tech   	= 8.7
8 ) UCLA           	= 8.7  
10) Oklahoma       	= 10.3
11) Texas          	= 12.0
12) Michigan State = 12.3
12) Washington     = 12.3
14) Vanderbilt     	= 13.3
15) Georgia        	= 15.0
16) Southern Cal   	= 16.7


Exhibit 1A:  DETAILED 2007 RECRUITING CLASS RANKINGS
based on TOP 2 RECRUITS
----------

#01)
Tennessee (19 pts)
------------------
#02 Angie Bjorklund (10 pts)
#05 Victoria Baugh (9 pts)

#02)
Duke (18 pts)
-------------
#07 Krystal Thomas (9 pts)
#08 Jasmine Thomas (9 pts)

#03)
Connecticut (17 pts)
--------------------
#01 Maya Moore (10 pts)
#19 Lorin Dixon (7 pts)

#04)
Stanford (17 pts)
-----------------
#04 Kayla Pedersen (10 pts)
#22 Jeanette Pohlen (7 pts)

#05)
North Carolina (16 pts)
-----------------------
#06 Italee Lucas (9 pts)
#14 Cetera Degraffenreid (7 pts)

#06)
Maryland (15 pts)
-----------------
#09 Marah Strickland (8 pts)
#16 Drey Mingo (7 pts)

#07)
Ohio State (15 pts)
-------------------
#03 Jantel Lavender (10 pts)
#34 Brittany Johnson (5 pts)

#08 )
Georgia Tech (14 pts)
---------------------
#15 Alex Montgomery (7 pts)
#20 Iasia Hemingway (7 pts)

#09)
Oklahoma (12 pts)
-----------------
#21 Danielle Robinson (7 pts)
#33 Jenny Vining (5 pts)

#10) 
Texas (10 pts)
--------------
#26 Rachel Rentschler (5 pts)
#40 Kathleen Nash (5 pts)

#11)
UCLA (10 pts)
-------------
#32 Christina Nzekwe (5 pts)
#43 Regina Rogers (5 pts)

#12)
Vanderbilt (10 pts)
-------------------
#25 Jence Rhoads (7 pts)
#80 Chanel Chisholm (3 pts)

#13)
Georgia (9 pts)
---------------
#27 Brittany Carter (5 pts)
#49 Angela Puleo (4 pts)

#14)
Michigan State (9 pts)
----------------------
#30 Lykendra Johnson (5 pts)
#65 Taja Wilson (4 pts)

#15)
Washington (9 pts)
-------------------
#36 Kali BENNETT (5 pts)
#66 Sarah Morton (4 pts)

#16) 
Southern California (9 pts)
---------------------------
#11 Stephanie Gilbreath (8 pts)
#92 Kari LaPlante (1 pt)


Exhibit 2A:  DETAILED 2007 RECRUITING CLASS RANKINGS
based on TOP 3 RECRUITS
----------

#01)
Tennessee (27 pts)
------------------
#02 Angie Bjorklund (10 pts)
#05 Victoria Baugh (9 pts)
#12 Kelly Cain (8 pts)

#02)
Duke (23 pts)
-------------
#07 Krystal Thomas (9 pts)
#08 Jasmine Thomas (9 pts)
#31 Karima Christmas (5 pts)

#03)
Stanford (22 pts)
-----------------
#04 Kayla Pedersen (10 pts)
#22 Jeanette Pohlen (7 pts)
#45 Hannah Donaghe (5 pts)

#04)
North Carolina (21 pts)
-----------------------
#06 Italee Lucas (9 pts)
#14 Cetera Degraffenreid (7 pts)
#47 Rebecca Gray (5 pts)

#05)
Maryland (20 pts)
-----------------
#09 Marah Strickland (8 pts)
#16 Drey Mingo (7 pts)
#46 Anjale Barrett (5 pts)

#06)
Ohio State (19 pts)
-------------------
#03 Jantel Lavender (10 pts)
#34 Brittany Johnson (5 pts)
#62 Alison Jackson (4 pts)

#07)
Connecticut (17 pts)
--------------------
#01 Maya Moore (10 pts)
#19 Lorin Dixon (7 pts)

#08 )
Georgia Tech (14 pts)
---------------------
#15 Alex Montgomery (7 pts)
#20 Iasia Hemingway (7 pts)

#09)
UCLA (14 pts)
-------------
#32 Christina Nzekwe (5 pts)
#43 Regina Rogers (5 pts)
#63 Candice Brown (4 pts)

#10)
Oklahoma (12 pts)
-----------------
#21 Danielle Robinson (7 pts)
#33 Jenny Vining (5 pts)

#11)
Michigan State (12 pts)
-----------------------
#30 Lykendra Johnson (5 pts)
#65 Taja Wilson (4 pts)
#70 Brittney Thomas (3 pts)

#12)
Washington (12 pts)
-------------------
#36 Kali BENNETT (5 pts)
#66 Sarah Morton (4 pts)
#83 Candice Nichols (3 pts)

#13) 
Texas (10 pts)
--------------
#26 Rachel Rentschler (5 pts)
#40 Kathleen Nash (5 pts)

#14)
Vanderbilt (10 pts)
-------------------
#25 Jence Rhoads (7 pts)
#80 Chanel Chisholm (3 pts)

#15)
Purdue (12 pts)
---------------
#51 Samantha Woods (4 pts)
#72 Michelle Clark (3 pts)
#87 Lakeisha Mosley (3 pts)

#16)
Georgia (9 pts)
---------------
#27 Brittany Carter (5 pts)
#49 Angela Puleo (4 pts)

#17) 
Southern California (9 pts)
---------------------------
#11 Stephanie Gilbreath (8 pts)
#92 Kari LaPlante (1 pt)


Exhibit 3A:  DETAILED 2007 RECRUITING CLASS RANKINGS
based on ALL RANKED (TOP 105) RECRUITS
----------

#01)
Tennessee (32 pts)
------------------
#02 Angie Bjorklund (10 pts)
#05 Victoria Baugh (9 pts)
#12 Kelly Cain (8 pts)
#38 Sydney Smallbone (5 pts)

#02)
Maryland (28 pts)
-----------------
#09 Marah Strickland (8 pts)
#16 Drey Mingo (7 pts)
#46 Anjale Barrett (5 pts)
#48 Kim Rodgers (4 pts)
#58 Katheryn Lyons (4 pts)

#03)
Stanford (25 pts)
-----------------
#04 Kayla Pedersen (10 pts)
#22 Jeanette Pohlen (7 pts)
#45 Hannah Donaghe (5 pts)
#74 Ashley Cimino (3 pts)

#04)
Duke (23 pts)
-------------
#07 Krystal Thomas (9 pts)
#08 Jasmine Thomas (9 pts)
#31 Karima Christmas (5 pts)

#05)
North Carolina (21 pts)
-----------------------
#06 Italee Lucas (9 pts)
#14 Cetera Degraffenreid (7 pts)
#47 Rebecca Gray (5 pts)

#06)
UCLA (20 pts)
-------------
#32 Christina Nzekwe (5 pts)
#43 Regina Rogers (5 pts)
#63 Candice Brown (4 pts)
#75 Nina Earl (3 pts)
#86 Doreena Campbell (3 pts)

#07)
Ohio State (19 pts)
-------------------
#03 Jantel Lavender (10 pts)
#34 Brittany Johnson (5 pts)
#62 Alison Jackson (4 pts)

#08 )
Connecticut (17 pts)
--------------------
#01 Maya Moore (10 pts)
#19 Lorin Dixon (7 pts)

#09)
Georgia Tech (14 pts)
---------------------
#15 Alex Montgomery (7 pts)
#20 Iasia Hemingway (7 pts)

#10)
Washington (13 pts)
-------------------
#36 Kali BENNETT (5 pts)
#66 Sarah Morton (4 pts)
#83 Candice Nichols (3 pts)
#104 Katelan Redmon (1 pt)

#11)
Oklahoma (12 pts)
-----------------
#21 Danielle Robinson (7 pts)
#33 Jenny Vining (5 pts)

#12)
Michigan State (12 pts)
-----------------------
#30 Lykendra Johnson (5 pts)
#65 Taja Wilson (4 pts)
#70 Brittney Thomas (3 pts)

#13) 
Texas (10 pts)
--------------
#26 Rachel Rentschler (5 pts)
#40 Kathleen Nash (5 pts)

#14)
Vanderbilt (10 pts)
-------------------
#25 Jence Rhoads (7 pts)
#80 Chanel Chisholm (3 pts)

#15)
Purdue (10 pts)
---------------
#51 Samantha Woods (4 pts)
#72 Michelle Clark (3 pts)
#87 Lakeisha Mosley (3 pts)

#16)
Georgia (9 pts)
---------------
#27 Brittany Carter (5 pts)
#49 Angela Puleo (4 pts)

#17) 
Southern California (9 pts)
---------------------------
#11 Stephanie Gilbreath (8 pts)
#92 Kari LaPlante (1 pt)

#18 ) 
Rutgers (8 pts)
---------------
#10 Khadijah Rushdan (8 pts)

#19)
Cal (8 pts)
-----------
#24 Lenita Sanford (7 pts)
#101 Kelsey Adrian (1 pt)

#20)
Kentucky (8 pts)
----------------
#54 Victoria Dunlap (4 pts)
#61 Carly Morrow (4 pts)

#21)
Baylor (7 pts)
--------------
#13 Melissa Jones (7 pts)

#22)
Texas A&M (7 pts)
-----------------
#18 Sydney Colson (7 pts)

#23)
Virginia (7 pts)
----------------
#23 Kelly Hartig (7 pts)

#24) 
Penn State (6 pts)
------------------
#44 Janesa Wolff (5 pts)
#94 Evelyn Lewis (1 pt)

#25)
Syracuse (6 pts)
----------------
#37 Erica Morrow (5 pts)
#105 Marisa Gobuty (1 pt)

#26)
Boston College (6 pts)
----------------------
#78 Jacklyn Thoman (3 pts)
#89 Stephanie Murphy (3 pts)

#27)
Northwestern (5 pts)
--------------------
#29 Amy Jaeschke (5 pts)

#28 )
Notre Dame (5 pts)
------------------
#35 Devereaux Peters (5 pts)

#29) 
Auburn (5 pts)
--------------
#39 Alli Smalley (5 pts)

#30)
Virginia Tech (5 pts)
---------------------
#41 Andrea Barbur (5 pts)

#31)
San Diego (5 pts)
-----------------
#42 Paris Johnson (5 pts)

#32)
North Carolina State (5 pts)
----------------------------
#67 Tia Bell (4 pts)
#96 Gloria Brown (1 pt)

#33)
Texas Tech (4 pts)
------------------
#50 Jordan Jones (4 pts)

#34)
LSU (4 pts)
-----------
#52 LaTear Eason (4 pts)

#35)
Florida (4 pts)
---------------
#55 Antoinette Howard (4 pts)

#36)
BYU (4 pts)
-----------
Keilani Moeaki (4 pts)

#37)
Florida State (4 pts)
---------------------
#59 Courtney Ward (4 pts)

#38 )
St Louis (4 pts)
----------------
#60 Tatiana Ortiz (4 pts)

#39)
Gonzaga (4 pts)
---------------
#64 Courtney Vandersloot (4 pts)

#40)
UC Santa Barbara (4 pts)
------------------------
#68 Courtney Collishaw (4 pts)

#41) 
West Virginia (4 pts)
---------------------
#69 Elizabeth Repella (4 pts)

#42)
Indiana (4 pts)
---------------
#76 Andrea McGuirt (3 pts)
#102 Georgia Follmer (1 pt)

#43) 
Oregon (3 pts)
--------------
#71 Tatiana Thomas (3 pts)

#44) 
SMU (3 pts)
-----------
#72 Reshundra Jackson (3 pts)

#45)
Oregon State (3 pts)
--------------------
#77 Alexandria Mitchell (3 pts)

#46)
Alabama (3 pts)
---------------
#81 Caitlin Hollifield (3 pts)

#47) 
Marquette (3 pts)
-----------------
#82 Angelique Robinson (3 pts)

#48 )
Illinois (3 pts)
----------------
#84 Chelsea Buher (3 pts)

#49)
Bucknell (3 pts)
----------------
#85 Cosima Higham (3 pts)

#50)
Miami, Fl (3 pts)
-----------------
#88 Epiphany Woodson (3 pts)

#51)
Wake Forest (3 pts)
-------------------
#90 Kemerly Wilson (3 pts)

#52) 
Creighton (2 pts)
-----------------
#95 Kelsey Woodard (1 pt)
#100 Kellie Nelson (1 pt)

#53) 
St John's (1 pt)
----------------
#93 Sky Lindsay (1 pt)

#54)
North Carolina A&T (1 pt)
-------------------------
#97 Jaleesa Sams (1 pt)

#55)
Dayton (1 pt)
-------------
#98 Kristin Daugherty (1 pt)

#56)
Xavier (1 pt)
-------------
#99 Special Jennings (1 pt)

#57)
Bowling Green (1 pt)
--------------------
#103 Crystal Murdough