A Preliminary Top 10

Special to HoopGurlz
Posted Nov 8, 2006


HoopGurlz commissions Joe Montes to take an unflinching and nonjudgmental look at the nation's top recruiting classes for 2007.

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Editor's Note: The following is a purely statistical analysis by Joe Montes that results in preliminary team recruiting rankings for HoopGurlz.com. We will post final recruiting rankings after the fall signing period that will take into account some more-subjective factors.

Joe Montes is a software consultant who divides his time between the Great Northwest and Southern California. He has been a woman's college basketball fan since his college days, during the championship years of Stanford in the early 1990s. Joe obviously likes to dabble in statistics, influenced by two sisters who both are PhDs in Statistics.


------------------------------------------------------------------------
RECRUITING POINTS ASSIGNMENT for TOP 105 FROM 2007:
(based on Hoopgurlz.com rankings)
------------------------------------------------------------------------
5-star/Tier 1 = 10 pts:  #01 Maya Moore        ->  #04 Kayla Pedersen 
5-star/Tier 2 =  9 pts:  #05 Victoria Baugh    ->  #08 Jasmine Thomas 
5-star/Tier 3 =  8 pts:  #09 Marah Strickland  ->  #12 Kelly Cain 
5-star/Tier 4 =  7 pts:  #13 Melissa Jones     ->  #25 Jence Rhoads 
------------------------------------------------------------------------
4-star/Tier 1 =  5 pts:  #26 Rachel Rentschler ->  #47 Rebecca Gray 
4-star/Tier 2 =  4 pts:  #48 Kim Rodgers       ->  #69 Elizabeth Repella 
4-star/Tier 3 =  3 pts:  #70 Brittney Thomas   ->  #91 Megan Jackson 
------------------------------------------------------------------------
3-star/Ranked =  1 pt :  #92 Kari LaPlante     ->  #105 Marisa Gobuty 
------------------------------------------------------------------------
Author's Note:
----

The following 2007 Recruiting Class Analysis was done on Nov 7, 2006, and does not include the following TOP 105 recruits who were still uncommitted as of that date:

No. 17 Tyra White (7 pts)
No. 28 Ta'Shia Phillips (5 pts)
No. 53 Danielle Adams (4 pts)
No. 57 Chimere Jordan (4 pts)
No. 79 Johna Ward (3 pts)
No. 91 Megan Jackson ( 3 pts)

----


These rankings are the result of averaging results from the exhibits that follow:

HOOPGURLZ.com Top 10 Recruiting Classes

1. Tennessee

Top RecruitAngie Bjorklund
No. 2 RecruitVicki Baugh
Avg Rank1.0

2. Duke

Top RecruitKrystal Thomas
No. 2 RecruitJasmine Thomas
Avg Rank2.7

3. Stanford

Top RecruitKayla Pedersen
No. 2 RecruitJeanette Pohlen
Avg Rank3.3

4. Maryland

Top RecruitMarah Strickland
No. 2 RecruitDrey Mingo
Avg Rank4.3

5. North Carolina

Top RecruitItalee Lucas
No. 2 RecruitCetera DeGraffenreid
Avg Rank5.7

6. Connecticut

Top RecruitMaya Moore
No. 2 RecruitLorin Dixon
Avg Rank6.0

7. Ohio State

Top RecruitJantel Lavender
No. 2 RecruitBrittany Johnson
Avg Rank6.7

8. Georgia Tech

Top RecruitAlex Montgomery
No. 2 RecruitIsasia Hemingway
Avg Rank8.7

8. UCLA

Top RecruitChristina Nzekwe
No. 2 RecruitRegina Rogers
Avg Rank8.7

10. Oklahoma

Top RecruitDanielle Robinson
No. 2 RecruitJenny Vining
Avg Rank10.3


Exhibit 1:  TOP 10 2007 RECRUITING CLASSES
based on TOP 2 RECRUITS
---------
           
1 ) Tennessee      	= 19 pts 
2 ) Duke           	= 18 pts 
3 ) Connecticut    	= 17 pts (Avg Rank of Top 2 Recruits = 10.0)
4 ) Stanford      	= 17 pts (Avg Rank of Top 2 Recruits = 13.0)
5 ) North Carolina 	= 16 pts 
6 ) Maryland       	= 15 pts (Avg Rank of Top 2 Recruits = 12.5)
7 ) Ohio State     	= 15 pts (Avg Rank of Top 2 Recruits = 18.5)
8 ) Georgia Tech   	= 14 pts
9 ) Oklahoma       	= 12 pts
10) Texas          	= 10 pts


Exhibit 2:  TOP 10 2007 RECRUITING CLASSES
based on TOP 3 RECRUITS
---------

1 ) Tennessee      	= 27 pts
2 ) Duke           	= 23 pts 
3 ) Stanford	= 22 pts
4 ) North Carolina 	= 21 pts
5 ) Maryland       	= 20 pts
6 ) Ohio State     	= 19 pts
7 ) Connecticut    	= 17 pts
8 ) Georgia Tech   	= 14 pts (Avg Rank of Top 2 Recruits = 17.5)
9 ) UCLA           	= 14 pts (Avg Rank of Top 2 Recruits = 37.5)
10) Oklahoma       	= 12 pts
  

Exhibit 3:  TOP 10 2007 RECRUITING CLASSES
based on ALL RANKED (TOP 105) RECRUITS
---------

1 ) Tennessee     	= 32 pts
2 ) Maryland       	= 28 pts
3 ) Stanford       	= 25 pts
4 ) Duke           	= 23 pts 
5 ) North Carolina 	= 21 pts
6 ) UCLA           	= 20 pts
7 ) Ohio State     	= 19 pts
8 ) Connecticut    	= 17 pts
9 ) Georgia Tech   	= 14 pts
10) Washington    	= 13 pts

 
Exhibit 4:  2007 RECRUITING CLASSES with HIGHEST AVERAGE RANKING
from the above-mentioned 3 RANKING CATEGORIES
---------

1 ) Tennessee	= 1.0
2 ) Duke        	= 2.7
3 ) Stanford      	= 3.3
4 ) Maryland       	= 4.3
5 ) North Carolina 	= 4.7
6 ) Connecticut    	= 6.0
7 ) Ohio State     	= 6.7
8 ) Georgia Tech   	= 8.7
8 ) UCLA           	= 8.7  
10) Oklahoma       	= 10.3
11) Texas          	= 12.0
12) Michigan State = 12.3
12) Washington     = 12.3
14) Vanderbilt     	= 13.3
15) Georgia        	= 15.0
16) Southern Cal   	= 16.7


Exhibit 1A:  DETAILED 2007 RECRUITING CLASS RANKINGS
based on TOP 2 RECRUITS
----------

#01)
Tennessee (19 pts)
------------------
#02 Angie Bjorklund (10 pts)
#05 Victoria Baugh (9 pts)

#02)
Duke (18 pts)
-------------
#07 Krystal Thomas (9 pts)
#08 Jasmine Thomas (9 pts)

#03)
Connecticut (17 pts)
--------------------
#01 Maya Moore (10 pts)
#19 Lorin Dixon (7 pts)

#04)
Stanford (17 pts)
-----------------
#04 Kayla Pedersen (10 pts)
#22 Jeanette Pohlen (7 pts)

#05)
North Carolina (16 pts)
-----------------------
#06 Italee Lucas (9 pts)
#14 Cetera Degraffenreid (7 pts)

#06)
Maryland (15 pts)
-----------------
#09 Marah Strickland (8 pts)
#16 Drey Mingo (7 pts)

#07)
Ohio State (15 pts)
-------------------
#03 Jantel Lavender (10 pts)
#34 Brittany Johnson (5 pts)

#08 )
Georgia Tech (14 pts)
---------------------
#15 Alex Montgomery (7 pts)
#20 Iasia Hemingway (7 pts)

#09)
Oklahoma (12 pts)
-----------------
#21 Danielle Robinson (7 pts)
#33 Jenny Vining (5 pts)

#10) 
Texas (10 pts)
--------------
#26 Rachel Rentschler (5 pts)
#40 Kathleen Nash (5 pts)

#11)
UCLA (10 pts)
-------------
#32 Christina Nzekwe (5 pts)
#43 Regina Rogers (5 pts)

#12)
Vanderbilt (10 pts)
-------------------
#25 Jence Rhoads (7 pts)
#80 Chanel Chisholm (3 pts)

#13)
Georgia (9 pts)
---------------
#27 Brittany Carter (5 pts)
#49 Angela Puleo (4 pts)

#14)
Michigan State (9 pts)
----------------------
#30 Lykendra Johnson (5 pts)
#65 Taja Wilson (4 pts)

#15)
Washington (9 pts)
-------------------
#36 Kali BENNETT (5 pts)
#66 Sarah Morton (4 pts)

#16) 
Southern California (9 pts)
---------------------------
#11 Stephanie Gilbreath (8 pts)
#92 Kari LaPlante (1 pt)


Exhibit 2A:  DETAILED 2007 RECRUITING CLASS RANKINGS
based on TOP 3 RECRUITS
----------

#01)
Tennessee (27 pts)
------------------
#02 Angie Bjorklund (10 pts)
#05 Victoria Baugh (9 pts)
#12 Kelly Cain (8 pts)

#02)
Duke (23 pts)
-------------
#07 Krystal Thomas (9 pts)
#08 Jasmine Thomas (9 pts)
#31 Karima Christmas (5 pts)

#03)
Stanford (22 pts)
-----------------
#04 Kayla Pedersen (10 pts)
#22 Jeanette Pohlen (7 pts)
#45 Hannah Donaghe (5 pts)

#04)
North Carolina (21 pts)
-----------------------
#06 Italee Lucas (9 pts)
#14 Cetera Degraffenreid (7 pts)
#47 Rebecca Gray (5 pts)

#05)
Maryland (20 pts)
-----------------
#09 Marah Strickland (8 pts)
#16 Drey Mingo (7 pts)
#46 Anjale Barrett (5 pts)

#06)
Ohio State (19 pts)
-------------------
#03 Jantel Lavender (10 pts)
#34 Brittany Johnson (5 pts)
#62 Alison Jackson (4 pts)

#07)
Connecticut (17 pts)
--------------------
#01 Maya Moore (10 pts)
#19 Lorin Dixon (7 pts)

#08 )
Georgia Tech (14 pts)
---------------------
#15 Alex Montgomery (7 pts)
#20 Iasia Hemingway (7 pts)

#09)
UCLA (14 pts)
-------------
#32 Christina Nzekwe (5 pts)
#43 Regina Rogers (5 pts)
#63 Candice Brown (4 pts)

#10)
Oklahoma (12 pts)
-----------------
#21 Danielle Robinson (7 pts)
#33 Jenny Vining (5 pts)

#11)
Michigan State (12 pts)
-----------------------
#30 Lykendra Johnson (5 pts)
#65 Taja Wilson (4 pts)
#70 Brittney Thomas (3 pts)

#12)
Washington (12 pts)
-------------------
#36 Kali BENNETT (5 pts)
#66 Sarah Morton (4 pts)
#83 Candice Nichols (3 pts)

#13) 
Texas (10 pts)
--------------
#26 Rachel Rentschler (5 pts)
#40 Kathleen Nash (5 pts)

#14)
Vanderbilt (10 pts)
-------------------
#25 Jence Rhoads (7 pts)
#80 Chanel Chisholm (3 pts)

#15)
Purdue (12 pts)
---------------
#51 Samantha Woods (4 pts)
#72 Michelle Clark (3 pts)
#87 Lakeisha Mosley (3 pts)

#16)
Georgia (9 pts)
---------------
#27 Brittany Carter (5 pts)
#49 Angela Puleo (4 pts)

#17) 
Southern California (9 pts)
---------------------------
#11 Stephanie Gilbreath (8 pts)
#92 Kari LaPlante (1 pt)


Exhibit 3A:  DETAILED 2007 RECRUITING CLASS RANKINGS
based on ALL RANKED (TOP 105) RECRUITS
----------

#01)
Tennessee (32 pts)
------------------
#02 Angie Bjorklund (10 pts)
#05 Victoria Baugh (9 pts)
#12 Kelly Cain (8 pts)
#38 Sydney Smallbone (5 pts)

#02)
Maryland (28 pts)
-----------------
#09 Marah Strickland (8 pts)
#16 Drey Mingo (7 pts)
#46 Anjale Barrett (5 pts)
#48 Kim Rodgers (4 pts)
#58 Katheryn Lyons (4 pts)

#03)
Stanford (25 pts)
-----------------
#04 Kayla Pedersen (10 pts)
#22 Jeanette Pohlen (7 pts)
#45 Hannah Donaghe (5 pts)
#74 Ashley Cimino (3 pts)

#04)
Duke (23 pts)
-------------
#07 Krystal Thomas (9 pts)
#08 Jasmine Thomas (9 pts)
#31 Karima Christmas (5 pts)

#05)
North Carolina (21 pts)
-----------------------
#06 Italee Lucas (9 pts)
#14 Cetera Degraffenreid (7 pts)
#47 Rebecca Gray (5 pts)

#06)
UCLA (20 pts)
-------------
#32 Christina Nzekwe (5 pts)
#43 Regina Rogers (5 pts)
#63 Candice Brown (4 pts)
#75 Nina Earl (3 pts)
#86 Doreena Campbell (3 pts)

#07)
Ohio State (19 pts)
-------------------
#03 Jantel Lavender (10 pts)
#34 Brittany Johnson (5 pts)
#62 Alison Jackson (4 pts)

#08 )
Connecticut (17 pts)
--------------------
#01 Maya Moore (10 pts)
#19 Lorin Dixon (7 pts)

#09)
Georgia Tech (14 pts)
---------------------
#15 Alex Montgomery (7 pts)
#20 Iasia Hemingway (7 pts)

#10)
Washington (13 pts)
-------------------
#36 Kali BENNETT (5 pts)
#66 Sarah Morton (4 pts)
#83 Candice Nichols (3 pts)
#104 Katelan Redmon (1 pt)

#11)
Oklahoma (12 pts)
-----------------
#21 Danielle Robinson (7 pts)
#33 Jenny Vining (5 pts)

#12)
Michigan State (12 pts)
-----------------------
#30 Lykendra Johnson (5 pts)
#65 Taja Wilson (4 pts)
#70 Brittney Thomas (3 pts)

#13) 
Texas (10 pts)
--------------
#26 Rachel Rentschler (5 pts)
#40 Kathleen Nash (5 pts)

#14)
Vanderbilt (10 pts)
-------------------
#25 Jence Rhoads (7 pts)
#80 Chanel Chisholm (3 pts)

#15)
Purdue (10 pts)
---------------
#51 Samantha Woods (4 pts)
#72 Michelle Clark (3 pts)
#87 Lakeisha Mosley (3 pts)

#16)
Georgia (9 pts)
---------------
#27 Brittany Carter (5 pts)
#49 Angela Puleo (4 pts)

#17) 
Southern California (9 pts)
---------------------------
#11 Stephanie Gilbreath (8 pts)
#92 Kari LaPlante (1 pt)

#18 ) 
Rutgers (8 pts)
---------------
#10 Khadijah Rushdan (8 pts)

#19)
Cal (8 pts)
-----------
#24 Lenita Sanford (7 pts)
#101 Kelsey Adrian (1 pt)

#20)
Kentucky (8 pts)
----------------
#54 Victoria Dunlap (4 pts)
#61 Carly Morrow (4 pts)

#21)
Baylor (7 pts)
--------------
#13 Melissa Jones (7 pts)

#22)
Texas A&M (7 pts)
-----------------
#18 Sydney Colson (7 pts)

#23)
Virginia (7 pts)
----------------
#23 Kelly Hartig (7 pts)

#24) 
Penn State (6 pts)
------------------
#44 Janesa Wolff (5 pts)
#94 Evelyn Lewis (1 pt)

#25)
Syracuse (6 pts)
----------------
#37 Erica Morrow (5 pts)
#105 Marisa Gobuty (1 pt)

#26)
Boston College (6 pts)
----------------------
#78 Jacklyn Thoman (3 pts)
#89 Stephanie Murphy (3 pts)

#27)
Northwestern (5 pts)
--------------------
#29 Amy Jaeschke (5 pts)

#28 )
Notre Dame (5 pts)
------------------
#35 Devereaux Peters (5 pts)

#29) 
Auburn (5 pts)
--------------
#39 Alli Smalley (5 pts)

#30)
Virginia Tech (5 pts)
---------------------
#41 Andrea Barbur (5 pts)

#31)
San Diego (5 pts)
-----------------
#42 Paris Johnson (5 pts)

#32)
North Carolina State (5 pts)
----------------------------
#67 Tia Bell (4 pts)
#96 Gloria Brown (1 pt)

#33)
Texas Tech (4 pts)
------------------
#50 Jordan Jones (4 pts)

#34)
LSU (4 pts)
-----------
#52 LaTear Eason (4 pts)

#35)
Florida (4 pts)
---------------
#55 Antoinette Howard (4 pts)

#36)
BYU (4 pts)
-----------
Keilani Moeaki (4 pts)

#37)
Florida State (4 pts)
---------------------
#59 Courtney Ward (4 pts)

#38 )
St Louis (4 pts)
----------------
#60 Tatiana Ortiz (4 pts)

#39)
Gonzaga (4 pts)
---------------
#64 Courtney Vandersloot (4 pts)

#40)
UC Santa Barbara (4 pts)
------------------------
#68 Courtney Collishaw (4 pts)

#41) 
West Virginia (4 pts)
---------------------
#69 Elizabeth Repella (4 pts)

#42)
Indiana (4 pts)
---------------
#76 Andrea McGuirt (3 pts)
#102 Georgia Follmer (1 pt)

#43) 
Oregon (3 pts)
--------------
#71 Tatiana Thomas (3 pts)

#44) 
SMU (3 pts)
-----------
#72 Reshundra Jackson (3 pts)

#45)
Oregon State (3 pts)
--------------------
#77 Alexandria Mitchell (3 pts)

#46)
Alabama (3 pts)
---------------
#81 Caitlin Hollifield (3 pts)

#47) 
Marquette (3 pts)
-----------------
#82 Angelique Robinson (3 pts)

#48 )
Illinois (3 pts)
----------------
#84 Chelsea Buher (3 pts)

#49)
Bucknell (3 pts)
----------------
#85 Cosima Higham (3 pts)

#50)
Miami, Fl (3 pts)
-----------------
#88 Epiphany Woodson (3 pts)

#51)
Wake Forest (3 pts)
-------------------
#90 Kemerly Wilson (3 pts)

#52) 
Creighton (2 pts)
-----------------
#95 Kelsey Woodard (1 pt)
#100 Kellie Nelson (1 pt)

#53) 
St John's (1 pt)
----------------
#93 Sky Lindsay (1 pt)

#54)
North Carolina A&T (1 pt)
-------------------------
#97 Jaleesa Sams (1 pt)

#55)
Dayton (1 pt)
-------------
#98 Kristin Daugherty (1 pt)

#56)
Xavier (1 pt)
-------------
#99 Special Jennings (1 pt)

#57)
Bowling Green (1 pt)
--------------------
#103 Crystal Murdough




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